Last week, I showed you which NFL teams you should fade given their abysmal records against the spread this season. I've updated that chart below, with the dollar amounts assuming a $20 bet on each game.
|Team||ATS Record||ROI $||ROI %|
|San Francisco 49ers||6-2-0||-$82.40||-51.50%|
|New York Jets||6-3-0||-$63.60||-35.30%|
|Kansas City Chiefs||6-3-0||-$63.60||-35.30%|
|San Diego Chargers||5-2-1||-$62.40||-39.00%|
|New Orleans Saints||5-3-0||-$43.60||-27.20%|
|New England Patriots||5-4-0||-$24.80||-13.80%|
|Green Bay Packers||4-4-0||-$4.80||-3.00%|
|New York Giants||3-5-0||$34.00||21.30%|
|St. Louis Rams||3-6-0||$52.80||29.20%|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||2-6-0||$72.80||45.50%|
Most surprising to me has to be the New York Jets, who are an impressive 6-3 ATS, despite being a woefully inconsistent team. I'm interested to see how long it takes casual bettors to realize that they've alternated wins and losses every game this season, and betting them as the inconsistent team they are.
Also interesting is the fact that the Falcons and Steelers, two teams that receive plenty of reaction on name recognition alone, are both awful against the spread this year. They are both awful without the involvement of a spread, so that isn't the surprising part. The shocking element is how few bettors (MYSELF INCLUDED BECAUSE I AM AN IDIOT) continue to lose with them.