Hot Picks. Hot Takes.
Hot Picks. Hot Takes.
Illustration for article titled Which NFL Teams Should You Bet Against Every Week?

There are some NFL teams that you would never pick straight up (Hi, Greg Schiano!). But is it profitable to bet against those same bad teams against the spread?


I compiled a chart of every team in the NFL, sorted by their record against the spread this season. Taking that information, I then listed the amount of money you would win or lose by betting $20 against them each week at odds of -110, along with the return on investment for each team.

TeamATS RecordROI $ROI %
Dallas Cowboys7-1-0-$121.20-75.80%
San Francisco 49ers6-2-0-$82.40-51.50%
San Diego Chargers5-1-1-$81.20-57.90%
New Orleans Saints5-2-0-$62.40-44.60%
Oakland Raiders5-2-0-$62.40-44.60%
Cincinnati Bengals5-2-1-$62.40-50.80%
Arizona Cardinals5-3-0-$43.60-27.20%
New York Jets5-3-0-$43.60-27.20%
Kansas City Chiefs5-3-0-$43.60-27.20%
Buffalo Bills5-3-0-$43.60-27.20%
Seattle Seahawks5-3-0-$43.60-27.20%
Tennessee Titans4-2-1-$42.40-30.30%
Baltimore Ravens4-3-0-$23.60-16.90%
Indianapolis Colts4-3-0-$23.60-16.90%
Carolina Panthers4-3-0-$23.60-16.90%
Green Bay Packers4-3-0-$23.60-16.90%
Detroit Lions4-4-0-$4.80-3.00%
Denver Broncos4-4-0-$4.80-3.00%
Cleveland Browns4-4-0-$4.80-3.00%
New England Patriots4-4-0-$4.80-3.00%
Miami Dolphins3-4-0$15.2010.90%
New York Giants3-5-0$34.0021.30%
Philadelphia Eagles3-5-0$34.0021.30%
St. Louis Rams3-5-0$34.0021.30%
Pittsburgh Steelers2-5-0$54.0038.60%
Atlanta Falcons2-5-0$54.0038.60%
Minnesota Vikings2-5-0$54.0038.60%
Washington Redskins2-5-0$54.0038.60%
Chicago Bears1-5-1$74.0052.90%
Houston Texans1-6-0$92.8066.30%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1-6-0$92.8066.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars1-7-0$111.6069.80%

Not surprisingly, betting against teams such as the Jaguars and Bucs has been a profitable exercise for bettors. One team that did stand out, though, was the Chicago Bears, who performed well early in the season but have been cruel to bettors who have backed them through seven games.

It is also worth noting, before we all run out and make sure to bet against the Jags for their next eight games, that Jacksonville is getting to the easy part of its schedule after their Week Nine bye. Seven of their final eight games are against teams that are .500 or worse. This probably won't translate to wins, but will make their games against the spread much more of a challenge for bettors.


The Buccaneers, however, are still totally fair game. Go bet your money against them.

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