Hot Picks. Hot Takes.

Despite looking unconvincing at times, not having Thiago Silva available due to yellow card accumulation, and Neymar currently being in the hospital, Brazil are early line favorites over Germany for Tuesday's World Cup semifinal match.

Over at Bovada, odds to advance to the final currently have Brazil at -125 and Germany at +105, while the money line sits at Brazil +155, Germany +175, and a draw after 90 minutes at +240.


Both Brazil and Germany enjoyed one goal wins in today's quarterfinal matches. Germany won 1-0 over France, with Brazil holding on for a 2-1 victory against Colombia, who needed more than James Rodriguez's sixth goal of the tournament on this day.

To be honest, home field advantage be damned, you'd be a fool not to grab Germany at their current price. Not only because of the issues with Neymar and the loss of Silva, but because Germany have looked more stable throughout the tournament. It hasn't always been pretty for them, but Germany's substance over style approach isn't too concerned with any of that.

Finding value is crucial to betting success, and getting a world power at underdog prices is valuable beyond any shadow of a doubt.


UPDATE: Neymar has been ruled out of the rest of the World Cup with a fractured vertabra. As of 7:50 p.m., Bovada still has Germany at even money to advance to the final. Now you should really hammer that.

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