The NFL season is just a shade past the halfway point, which means that each team has had at least eight chances to win. More importantly, though, each team has had at least eight chances to make each and every one of us some guap. But which teams have been the most reliable to invest in so far?
Below is a chart detailing each NFL team's record against the spread, win percentage against the spread, and return on investment based on a $20 betting unit at -110 odds. Against the spread records are from VegasInsider's against the spread standings.
|Team||ATS Wins||ATS Losses||ATS Pushes||ATS Win %||ROI $||ROI %|
|Kansas City Chiefs||6||2||0||75.00%||$72.80||45.50%|
|New England Patriots||5||4||0||55.56%||$14.00||7.78%|
|San Diego Chargers||5||4||0||55.56%||$14.00||7.78%|
|Green Bay Packers||4||3||1||57.14%||$15.20||10.86%|
|New Orleans Saints||4||4||0||50.00%||-$4.80||-3.00%|
|San Francisco 49ers||4||4||0||50.00%||-$4.80||-3.00%|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||3||5||0||37.50%||-$43.60||-27.25%|
|New York Giants||3||5||0||37.50%||-$43.60||-27.25%|
|St. Louis Rams||3||5||0||37.50%||-$43.60||-27.25%|
|New York Jets||1||7||1||12.50%||-$121.20||-75.75%|
Not surprisingly, the best teams in the league tend to be the most profitable for bettors, for the most part, with teams like Indianapolis, Arizona, and Kansas City being very profitable to this point in the season.
With that said, you can clearly see how teams who are loved by the public have failed to be beneficial to their backers. Denver is a great example of this, at 4-4 against the spread, a number that results in a net loss at -110 odds. The defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks also fall into this category, as the Legion of Boom hasn't been able to stop them from being worse than all but four teams against the spread this year.
Granted, it must be pointed out that these against the spread records and subsequent ROI figures may be totally different for you, depending on where you bet and what their lines look like. For example, my NFL picks have only seen one push all season, whereas these numbers feature multiple pushes. If anything, this exercise further illustrates the importance of line shopping, the pseudo-art of finding the best possible line across multiple sports books.
At the end of the day, there are a lot of factors that go into which teams are profitable against the spread and which teams are not. But there is one thing that is very clear: if you fade the Jets, you're going to be rich.