A couple of weeks ago, the Green Bay Packers sat at 33/1 odds to win the Super Bowl, prior to their improbably comeback win over the Dallas Cowboys. Before their loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, they were at 25/1 to win it all. With Aaron Rodgers back, Green Bay sits at just 16/1 to win it all.
The Packers are 2.5 point favorites at the LVH to win their winner-take-all NFC North championship game against the Chicago Bears on Sunday. If they win that game, they will probably take on the San Francisco 49ers in the Wild Card round in Green Bay. It's worth remembering that last season, Colin Kaepernick led the Niners to an utter destruction of the Packers in the Divisional Round in San Francisco. If they got through that game, their reward would be a trip to Carolina or Seattle. But Rodgers is back, so they can't be counted out of anything.
Only six teams are favored over the Packers to win it all according to Bovada; the Bengals, Patriots, Panthers, 49ers, Broncos, and Seahawks. Without a fully healthy Rodgers, it's not entirely certain how smart a play the Packers are at 16/1 but, given how deadly a healthy Rodgers can be, there is some significant value there for bettors who don't want to play the odds on favorites.
At the end of the day, it's pretty damn unlikely that the Packers will make a Super Bowl run with an Aaron Rodgers who is recovering to some extent from a shoulder injury. But would you put it past them? And will any team want to see a pissed off Aaron Rodgers on the opposing sideline this postseason? Of course not. This may be worth a shot.